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Post Info TOPIC: Asteroid 2010 JL33


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RE: Asteroid 2010 JL33
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2010 JL33
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -5.91
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -5.77
Impact Probability (cumulative) 3.0e-10
Number of Potential Impacts 2
Vimpact 18.48 km/s
Vinfinity 14.74 km/s
H 18.0
Diameter 0.836 km
Mass 7.9e+11 kg
Energy 3.2e+04 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
39 observations spanning 6.9181 days
(2010-May-06.36978 to 2010-May-13.2879)



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2010 JL33
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -5.86
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -5.39
Impact Probability (cumulative) 5.9e-10
Number of Potential Impacts 4
Vimpact 18.52 km/s
Vinfinity 14.79 km/s
H 18.0
Diameter 0.843 km
Mass 8.1e+11 kg
Energy 3.3e+04 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
36 observations spanning 5.9688 days
(2010-May-06.36978 to 2010-May-12.33853)



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Update:

Asteroid 2010 JL33

Minimum Distance: 0.09817 AU
Approach Date: 07:11 UT, 6th December, 2010
Maximum magnitude: 15.4 V
Date at maximum brightness: 21:00 UT,  8th December, 2010
Maximum angular speed: 16.23 "/min


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2010 JL33
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -5.78
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -5.34
Impact Probability (cumulative) 6.1e-10
Number of Potential Impacts 5
Vimpact 18.52 km/s
Vinfinity 14.79 km/s
H 18.0
Diameter 0.843 km
Mass 8.1e+11 kg
Energy 3.3e+04 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
34 observations spanning 4.8719 days
(2010-May-06.36978 to 2010-May-11.24168)



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Asteroid 2010 JL33

Minimum Distance: 0.06796 AU
Approach Date: 14:23 UT, 7th December 2010
Maximum magnitude: 14.6 V
Date at maximum brightness: 12:00 UT, 9th December 2010
Maximum angular speed: 24.14/min

Ephemeris
Date        UT     R.A. (J2000) Decl.   Delta r      El.  V 
2010 12 07 000000 13 43 59.2 +26 46 54 0.068 0.961 67.3 15.7
2010 12 08 000000 13 11 33.8 +33 10 58 0.068 0.973 77.6 15.2
2010 12 09 000000 12 34 58.8 +38 53 07 0.070 0.985 87.7 14.8
2010 12 10 000000 11 55 28.8 +43 28 18 0.073 0.997 97.2 14.5
2010 12 11 000000 11 15 07.7 +46 45 49 0.077 1.009 105.8 14.4
2010 12 12 000000 10 36 16.0 +48 50 03 0.083 1.021 113.4 14.4
2010 12 13 000000 10 00 46.0 +49 54 52 0.090 1.033 120.0 14.4
2010 12 14 000000 09 29 36.3 +50 16 47 0.098 1.045 125.7 14.4
2010 12 15 000000 09 02 56.1 +50 10 25 0.107 1.057 130.7 14.5
2010 12 16 000000 08 40 23.9 +49 46 45 0.116 1.069 135.0 14.6
2010 12 17 000000 08 21 25.6 +49 13 20 0.125 1.081 138.8 14.6
2010 12 18 000000 08 05 25.7 +48 35 00 0.135 1.093 142.1 14.7
2010 12 19 000000 07 51 52.0 +47 54 45 0.145 1.106 145.0 14.8
2010 12 20 000000 07 40 17.7 +47 14 22 0.155 1.118 147.6 14.9
2010 12 21 000000 07 30 20.9 +46 34 53 0.165 1.130 150.0 15.0
2010 12 22 000000 07 21 44.0 +45 56 51 0.176 1.142 152.0 15.1
2010 12 23 000000 07 14 13.4 +45 20 32 0.187 1.155 153.8 15.2
2010 12 24 000000 07 07 37.7 +44 46 02 0.198 1.167 155.5 15.3
2010 12 25 000000 07 01 48.3 +44 13 20 0.209 1.179 156.9 15.4
2010 12 26 000000 06 56 38.1 +43 42 23 0.221 1.191 158.1 15.5
2010 12 27 000000 06 52 01.3 +43 13 06 0.232 1.203 159.2 15.6
2010 12 28 000000 06 47 53.4 +42 45 21 0.244 1.216 160.0 15.7
2010 12 29 000000 06 44 10.5 +42 19 03 0.256 1.228 160.7 15.8
2010 12 30 000000 06 40 49.4 +41 54 05 0.268 1.240 161.3 15.9


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2010 JL33
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -5.33
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -4.71
Impact Probability (cumulative) 3.2e-09
Number of Potential Impacts 17
Vimpact 18.40 km/s
Vinfinity 14.64 km/s
H 18.0
Diameter 0.843 km
Mass 8.2e+11 kg
Energy 3.3e+04 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
31 observations spanning 3.9052 days
(2010-May-06.36978 to 2010-May-10.27497)



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Posts: 131433
Date:
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2010 JL33
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -4.98
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -4.10
Impact Probability (cumulative) 1.6e-08
Number of Potential Impacts 47
Vimpact 18.31 km/s
Vinfinity 14.53 km/s
H 18.0
Diameter 0.846 km
Mass 8.3e+11 kg
Energy 3.3e+04 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
29 observations spanning 2.9880 days
(2010-May-06.36978 to 2010-May-09.35781)



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Posts: 131433
Date:
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2010 JL33
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -3.21
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -2.77
Impact Probability (cumulative) 1.9e-07
Number of Potential Impacts 120
Vimpact 17.58 km/s
Vinfinity 13.59 km/s
H 18.0
Diameter 0.844 km
Mass 8.2e+11 kg
Energy 3.0e+04 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
26 observations spanning 2.1984 days
(2010-May-06.36978 to 2010-May-08.56816)



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Orbital elements:
2010 JL33 PHA, Earth MOID = 0.0393 AU
Epoch 2010 July 23.0 TT = JDT 2455400.5 MPC
M 336.95928 (2000.0) P Q
n 0.23031679 Peri. 309.79539 +0.99544517 -0.05561008
a 2.6358396 Node 53.52974 +0.08459307 +0.88979914
e 0.7450144 Incl. 5.52583 -0.04396511 +0.45295145
P 4.28 H 17.5 G 0.15 U 9

MPEC 2010 - J42


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