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Post Info TOPIC: Asteroid 2010 PR66
Blobrana


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RE: Asteroid 2010 PR66
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The 370 - 820 metre wide asteroid 2010 PR66 will make a close pass (24.5 LD, 0.0630 AU) travelling at 17.67 km/second, to the Earth-Moon system on the 21st July 2015 @ 09:28 UT ±00:01. 

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The Lunar Distance (LD), the distance between Earth and the Moon, equals 384,401 km, (or 0.00256 AU).



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Blobrana


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2010 PR66
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -5.42
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -5.42
Impact Probability (cumulative) 1.1e-08
Number of Potential Impacts 1
Vimpact 19.59 km/s
Vinfinity 16.12 km/s
H 19.4
Diameter 0.450 km
Mass 1.2e+11 kg
Energy 5.5e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
109 observations spanning 10.899 days
(2010-Aug-15.2648 to 2010-Aug-26.16416)



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Blobrana


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2010 PR66
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -4.22
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -4.22
Impact Probability (cumulative) 1.8e-07
Number of Potential Impacts 2
Vimpact 19.59 km/s
Vinfinity 16.11 km/s
H 19.4
Diameter 0.450 km
Mass 1.2e+11 kg
Energy 5.7e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
100 observations spanning 8.8982 days
(2010-Aug-15.2648 to 2010-Aug-24.162972)



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Blobrana


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2010 PR66
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -4.23
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -4.23
Impact Probability (cumulative) 1.8e-07
Number of Potential Impacts 2
Vimpact 19.59 km/s
Vinfinity 16.11 km/s
H 19.4
Diameter 0.450 km
Mass 1.2e+11 kg
Energy 5.5e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
97 observations spanning 8.6155 days
(2010-Aug-15.2648 to 2010-Aug-23.88029)



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Blobrana


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Posts: 131433
Date:
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2010 PR66
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -4.04
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -4.04
Impact Probability (cumulative) 2.6e-07
Number of Potential Impacts 2
Vimpact 19.59 km/s
Vinfinity 16.11 km/s
H 19.4
Diameter 0.450 km
Mass 1.3e+11 kg
Energy 5.8e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
89 observations spanning 6.9460 days
(2010-Aug-15.2648 to 2010-Aug-22.21081)



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Blobrana


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Posts: 131433
Date:
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2010 PR66
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -4.08
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -4.04
Impact Probability (cumulative) 2.7e-07
Number of Potential Impacts 3
Vimpact 19.59 km/s
Vinfinity 16.13 km/s
H 19.4
Diameter 0.440 km
Mass 1.2e+11 kg
Energy 5.4e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
64 observations spanning 5.8144 days
(2010-Aug-15.2648 to 2010-Aug-21.07922)



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Blobrana


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Posts: 131433
Date:
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2010 PR66
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -4.28
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -4.09
Impact Probability (cumulative) 2.5e-07
Number of Potential Impacts 4
Vimpact 19.62 km/s
Vinfinity 16.15 km/s
H 19.4
Diameter 0.440 km
Mass 1.1e+11 kg
Energy 5.2e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
52 observations spanning 3.9164 days
(2010-Aug-15.2648 to 2010-Aug-19.18118)



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Blobrana


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Posts: 131433
Date:
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2010 PR66
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -4.45
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -3.75
Impact Probability (cumulative) 3.9e-07
Number of Potential Impacts 26
Vimpact 19.86 km/s
Vinfinity 16.44 km/s
H 19.4
Diameter 0.440 km
Mass 1.2e+11 kg
Energy 5.5e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
47 observations spanning 1.8847 days
(2010-Aug-15.2648 to 2010-Aug-17.14952)



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Blobrana


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Posts: 131433
Date:
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2010 PR66
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -3.12
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -3.04
Impact Probability (cumulative) 4.4e-07
Number of Potential Impacts 27
Vimpact 19.82 km/s
Vinfinity 16.39 km/s
H 19.4
Diameter 0.450 km
Mass 1.2e+11 kg
Energy 5.8e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
40 observations spanning 1.5753 days
(2010-Aug-15.2648 to 2010-Aug-16.84013)



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Blobrana


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Orbital elements:
2010 PR66                                           PHA, Earth MOID = 0.0027 AU
Epoch 2010 July 23.0 TT = JDT 2455400.5                 MPC
M   7.22612              (2000.0)            P               Q
n   0.21584374     Peri.  315.88606     -0.27238010     +0.92977036
a   2.7523886      Node   296.84923     -0.78794824     -0.36326296
e   0.6740557      Incl.   16.11616     -0.55221976     +0.05972525
P   4.57           H   19.5           G   0.15           U   8

MPEC 2010 - Q02

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